Countries are continuing to adapt to the recent cuts to US funding for the global HIV response. The impacts of HIV service disruptions are being more clearly understood as more granular information becomes available.

For example, in Eswatini, there have been reports of declines in HIV case identification, contact tracing efforts and peer-based linkage, particularly among high-risk populations such as men and young people. In addition, in spite of a waiver intended to continue these services, the US funding cuts have affected services for pregnant women living with HIV, increasing the risk of vertical transmission during childbirth and breastfeeding. In Zimbabwe, where the government has limited fiscal capacity to fill gaps created by US funding cuts, the initial results of impact assessments warn that even a temporary halt in US funding will result in tens of thousands of additional HIV infections and thousands of additional deaths between 2025 and 2030.

Many countries have prioritized the continuation of HIV treatment and services to prevent vertical (mother-to-child) transmission. In some cases, national AIDS programmes have requested and/or obtained additional domestic resources to fill some of the most critical gaps. In Nigeria, for example, the federal government approved a new budget for procuring HIV medicines. Also, a national campaign to accelerate the prevention of vertical transmission is continuing to rollout across all states with Global Fund and national resources. 

Ethiopia’s parliament has introduced a new payroll tax as part of measures to fill the financial gap left by the US funding cuts. The new bill has been forwarded to a parliamentary committee for deliberation on the percentages to be contributed.  The funds collected will go to a new Ethiopian Disaster Risk Response Fund to pay for projects previously funded by USAID, which provided $1.8 billion in development and humanitarian assistance to the country during the 2023 financial year. In addition to food aid and services for 1 million refugees hosted by Ethiopia, the funds were spent on HIV medications, vaccines, literacy programmes and job-creation programmes.

In Kenya, the Ministry of Health has collaborated with partners, including UNAIDS, to develop a rapid assessment tool to measure the impacts of cuts to US funding. A high priority has been placed on accessing and distributing commodities from a PEPFAR-funded supply agency to sustain the availability of these commodities across the country. Despite these efforts, several services have been affected by the abrupt changes to the funding landscape. Condom stocks are alarmingly low. Stockouts of this critical HIV prevention commodity could lead to an increase in new HIV infections. County governments have been urged to allocate additional funding to local HIV services, and the parliament has been called upon to increase the health sector budget.

In Malawi, the government is working with partners, including UNAIDS, to ensure continuation of HIV services. However, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and early infant diagnosis are among the priority services operating at reduced capacity due to US funding cuts. Outreach services for hard-to-reach communities are also disrupted, creating fears of an increase in treatment interruptions among people living with HIV.

Civil society and community organizations continue to play important monitoring and advocacy roles, despite the major funding challenges they face. For example, in Ukraine, a shipment of antiretroviral medicines arrived from Poland last week, securing the continuity of HIV treatment for about 90,000 people living with HIV. Civil society organizations are working to mobilize alternative sources of funding from both domestic and international partners. They have also stepped up their efforts to monitor stocks of HIV medicines, service disruptions and human rights violations affecting key populations.

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