Stock Levels and Immediate Risks

• Stock Levels: A recent national stock-level assessment indicates that there are at least two months of stock at facilities and five months at central warehouses. This is consistent with normal operations, and no immediate risk of stockouts is anticipated. New shipments are expected in April.
• Service Disruptions: Some communities-based service delivery points are facing serious service interruptions, and there are currently no plans for referrals to other facilities. . Community HIV testing for the general population and key populations (KPs) has been significantly impacted due to disruptions in the community health workforce. Specialized wraparound services at over 80 One-Stop Shops have been disrupted in one way or another due to funding freezes. Disruptions in services for orphans and vulnerable children (OVC) may impact children living with HIV. 

Relevant Updates

• Government Actions: The Nigerian government has taken proactive steps to address potential AIDS funding gaps, particularly in response to the suspension of US-funded programs. The Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved N4.8 billion for procuring 150,000 HIV treatment packs under the 2024/2025 HIV Program Alignment. The government is also strengthening national systems, securing local financing, and engaging the private sector, including plans to establish an AIDS Trust Fund.
• Healthcare Workforce: The Government is collecting information about the health care workers that have been impacted by the funding freeze, with the intention to determine the critical number and skillset of workers in each state to be recommended for absorption into the public health workforce. One of the states, Rivers State, recently recruited 1,000 healthcare workers, absorbing some who were affected by the funding freeze. The Network of people living with HIV is leading efforts to map the impact on the community health workforce, with a Ministerial Task Team reviewing findings and proposing state-level interventions.
• Community and Civil Society Response: Community-led and peer-led services is mostly supported through the Global Fund and has continued, those PEPFAR-funded components have been interrupted due to "stop-work" orders issued to PEPFAR Implementing Partners. Many partners have yet to communicate updates to community workers, despite directives in the February 4th Memo from the US Government. Some implementing partners, such as Heartland Alliance, which supported over 20 One-Stop Shops for Key Populations, have received official contract termination notices from USAID, with no clear transition plan for their services.
• Resilience and Adaptation: Despite these challenges, the community and civil society organizations have shown resilience. For example, about two-thirds of community workers who received "stop-work" orders in January/Early February have been recalled following the February 4th Waiver Memo from GHSD. Additionally, national acceleration efforts to prevent vertical transmission of HIV continue to scale up across all states under Global Fund funding, relying on public health institutions and Global Fund-supported community health workers.

Summary of Key Assessment Findings

The task team has been meeting at the governmental level, with UNAIDS supporting the Federal Ministry of Health and the National AIDS Council DG, who co-chairs the task team. 

Summary of key assessment findings:

1. Community Workforce: Over 95% of community workers received "stop-work" orders, but about two-thirds have been recalled.
2. ARV Access: Immediate access to antiretrovirals remains stable but testing and case-finding activities have stalled significantly. Investments by the Government of Nigeria and the Global Fund in the National PMTCT Acceleration Plan has however supported continued scale-up of PMTCT testing and treatment. 
3. ARV Stock Pipeline: The pipeline for 1st-line ARVs remains strong, with over six months of stock available. New shipments are expected to continue, but distribution challenges may arise.

Crisis Response Plan: The newly inaugurated AIDS, TB and Malaria TWG, has been tasked to leading the convening of critical stakeholders to set-up crisis response plans at national and sub-national level, with clear communications channels for reporting service delivery disruptions. The committee has conducted a preliminary gaps analysis which informed the approval of a supplementary budget of about $200 million.